Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000742 0.000847 0.000959 0.001086 0.001225 0.001373 0.001543
2025-03-30 0.000576 0.000722 0.000886 0.001086 0.001318 0.001580 0.001894
2025-04-06 0.000481 0.000642 0.000834 0.001074 0.001366 0.001706 0.002128
2025-04-13 0.000405 0.000573 0.000781 0.001054 0.001396 0.001806 0.002328
2025-04-20 0.000363 0.000541 0.000769 0.001077 0.001473 0.001959 0.002593
2025-04-27 0.000327 0.000510 0.000754 0.001091 0.001538 0.002096 0.002838
2025-05-04 0.000287 0.000470 0.000721 0.001079 0.001564 0.002184 0.003020
2025-05-11 0.000250 0.000430 0.000686 0.001060 0.001578 0.002252 0.003178
2025-05-18 0.000229 0.000411 0.000676 0.001074 0.001635 0.002377 0.003411
2025-05-25 0.000207 0.000388 0.000659 0.001076 0.001674 0.002479 0.003614
2025-06-01 0.000179 0.000353 0.000621 0.001044 0.001664 0.002512 0.003725
2025-06-08 0.000156 0.000321 0.000586 0.001014 0.001654 0.002543 0.003832
2025-06-15 0.000140 0.000302 0.000570 0.001012 0.001685 0.002633 0.004023
2025-06-22 0.000126 0.000285 0.000556 0.001011 0.001717 0.002724 0.004219
2025-06-29 0.000112 0.000267 0.000536 0.001000 0.001733 0.002794 0.004384
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000246 0.000512 0.000981 0.001734 0.002840 0.004517
2025-07-13 0.000093 0.000240 0.000513 0.001003 0.001799 0.002980 0.004785
2025-07-20 0.000086 0.000233 0.000510 0.001017 0.001852 0.003102 0.005031
2025-07-27 0.000077 0.000218 0.000493 0.001005 0.001863 0.003164 0.005188
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000202 0.000472 0.000987 0.001863 0.003206 0.005317
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000196 0.000470 0.001000 0.001913 0.003327 0.005565
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000187 0.000461 0.001002 0.001945 0.003419 0.005771
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000171 0.000436 0.000972 0.001922 0.003426 0.005848